Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.123577 0.145400 0.169796 0.199070 0.233227 0.271807 0.318675
2025-11-09 0.086184 0.112803 0.145710 0.189305 0.245477 0.315350 0.408818
2025-11-16 0.068261 0.096751 0.134715 0.188844 0.263887 0.364091 0.507915
2025-11-23 0.054823 0.083016 0.122988 0.183542 0.272699 0.398859 0.590650
2025-11-30 0.047401 0.075997 0.118766 0.187027 0.292846 0.450188 0.701382
2025-12-07 0.040866 0.068992 0.113138 0.186979 0.306866 0.493201 0.803969
2025-12-14 0.034782 0.061597 0.105605 0.182470 0.312693 0.523487 0.889400
2025-12-21 0.030537 0.056527 0.100976 0.181769 0.324107 0.563267 0.993911
2025-12-28 0.028151 0.054285 0.100711 0.188256 0.348131 0.626095 1.143674
2026-01-04 0.026341 0.052788 0.101476 0.196505 0.375982 0.698143 1.317063
2026-01-11 0.024295 0.050520 0.100481 0.201263 0.397821 0.761541 1.481410
2026-01-18 0.021958 0.047328 0.097290 0.201341 0.410668 0.809540 1.621919
2026-01-25 0.019053 0.042715 0.091038 0.195253 0.412134 0.838822 1.735374
2026-02-01 0.016213 0.037819 0.083585 0.185807 0.405884 0.852921 1.821927
2026-02-08 0.014564 0.035263 0.080639 0.185369 0.418114 0.905187 1.992032
2026-02-15 0.012768 0.032070 0.075836 0.180163 0.419341 0.934694 2.117705
2026-02-22 0.011818 0.030720 0.074947 0.183586 0.439949 1.007475 2.344887
2026-03-01 0.010748 0.028901 0.072708 0.183539 0.452595 1.064215 2.543022
2026-03-08 0.009548 0.026552 0.068869 0.179111 0.454358 1.096661 2.689535
2026-03-15 0.008695 0.024969 0.066680 0.178423 0.464984 1.150571 2.892258
2026-03-22 0.008279 0.024504 0.067249 0.184793 0.493854 1.250645 3.216831
2026-03-29 0.007969 0.024285 0.068424 0.192894 0.528126 1.367520 3.595754
2026-04-05 0.007529 0.023621 0.068320 0.197568 0.554072 1.466711 3.941608